Facebook IPO - Overpriced or not at $100B?

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http://blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/2012/02/ - Read this, and then post your opinion.

Definitely overpriced IMHO. I'm not an investor or anything, so I'm looking at this from the point of view of a webmaster. If anything is wrong, feel free to tell me, remember this is all estimation.

Approximately 2B people use the internet, and you can say about 1B use it daily. If FB holds around 850M active accounts /mo, it poses the question of how FB's revenue will increase. FB makes money from ads, simple, any company that advertises already advertises of Google, and with the current global economy businesses are more weary to fork out hundreds of thousands of dollars into advertising. So we can assume most businesses who advertise with FB is constant with minimal flunctuations, and anyone who isn't advertising with FB now may or may not advertise, either way, if they were to already advertise they would have been now.

It's just like Google's shares, Google doesn't get extreme bursts of traffic daily, since almost everyone knows about it, meaning that it's traffic is constant - and those who don't use it are already aware of it. This means Google's revenue is consistent on a month-to-month basis give or take a few thousand dollars here and there, not to mention they lost 8% in the last financial year.

This in total leads me to believe that FB has maximised their daily profit, sure they will have fluctuations on a monthly basis and some growth, but anyone with access to the internet has heard of FB, which means most people have registered, 850M active users is almost everyone online, since many would be inactive.

IMO, investing in FB may lead to some profit, but nothing so drastic where you make millions. FB's ad click rate has been like this for the past 3/4 years - LOW. You go on FB for your friends, pictures, people don't even notice the ads.

That's about it, that's my 2 cents.
 
I believe it is worth that much, its just as much as for business's as it is for the people.

I also think investing in Fb would be certain profit.
 
Seems underpriced really, as like a what? 68% of the globe uses facebook at least once a day according to google?
 
Famous™ said:
I believe it is worth that much, its just as much as for business's as it is for the people.

I also think investing in Fb would be certain profit.

Investing in a business is in the hope of a rising profit, not just profit. FB makes $12m/day and has been for a long time, which means investing in them would make them no profit whatsoever, they need to make more than that to give a profit to their investors, A LOT more than that.
 

I kinda mean mine as buying shares in them which the share price will rise as the company is always getting bigger, even if the members stay at 850m, more and more business's use it.
 
Famous™ said:
I kinda mean mine as buying shares in them which the share price will rise as the company is always getting bigger, even if the members stay at 850m, more and more business's use it.

That's what I'm worried about, with this economy, most businesses that advertise already do use it, large emerging businesses decide if FB even increases their profits by $300k/day, which in retrospect is not enough to give shareholders a reasonable profit..
 
I do think it is worth that much.
However I do agree i dont see how it can grow?
In my opinion it will stay active for the next 2-5 years and after that it will become extinct much like "myspace" and "bebo.
 
No one knows Facebook's daily earnings per day. I believe it's much more than $12m if I'm honest.

Also, when you pay for a website you don't just pay for what they currently earn. If you owned Facebook you could do anything. You could create infinite amount of stuff to make money. Look at Google for example.

Agree with Carbon, it's either accurate or under-priced.
 
oliver.edmunds100 said:
I do think it is worth that much.
However I do agree i dont see how it can grow?
In my opinion it will stay active for the next 2-5 years and after that it will become extinct much like "myspace" and "bebo.

It may be worth that much or it may not, heck, FB may never die but I do believe slowly it will, but pricing the stock at such a high price is ludicrous.


No, it's $12m/day, according to
 
oliver.edmunds100 said:
I do think it is worth that much.
However I do agree i dont see how it can grow?
In my opinion it will stay active for the next 2-5 years and after that it will become extinct much like "myspace" and "bebo.

It may be worth that much or it may not, heck, FB may never die but I do believe slowly it will, but pricing the stock at such a high price is ludicrous.


No, it's $12m/day, according to CEO Mark Zuckerberg. And no Crayo, that's not how it works. Purchasing stock is not purchasing the company, they don't have power over features as such. Google is different, people click ads more frequently on Google due to their needs for results, whereas FB's clickrate is much lower. Furthermore, how can FB make more money other than ads, and as I've already said, a majority of internet-users have already registered on FB.
 
Thought you meant actually buying Facebook, didn't read the whole thread.

Guarantee Facebook makes more. Guarantee it.
 
Crayo said:
Thought you meant actually buying Facebook, didn't read the whole thread.

Guarantee Facebook makes more. Guarantee it.

How can you guarantee it without any external knowledge upon the subject?

"Doubtless the main argument against such a move is financial. Facebook made about $4.25 billion last year; by that reckoning, a single day of outage would cost the site nearly $12 million in revenue. Advertisers would be furious; space they bought in good faith would either be blacked out or appear next to blacked-out text."

http://mashable.com/2012/01/18/sopa-and-pipa-facebook/
 
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